In this workshop we aim to challenge traditional boundaries to develop interdisciplinary and cross-scale frameworks for the next generation of forecasting systems.

How can we balance the needs of nature and people to derive scenarios for sustainable development?

How can we represent the complex processes and decision making in integrated socio-ecological models?

How can we make our research outcomes  speak to the people instead of just being about them?

To inspire and facilitate this dialogue, we will explore local case studies as blueprints, from a magnificent venue in Conguillio National Park in Chile through various scales and teleconnections to other regions of the world. 

Our world is increasingly connected and human influence expands even into the most remote areas of our planet. Small everyday decisions collectively shape the future of our Earth and determine the extent and impacts of global changes. Policies and strategies for mitigating negative effects increasingly rely on forecasts to make sense of these immensely complex cross-scale processes. To be effective, these forecasts need a holistic basis in local social, ecological and economic conditions, In short, social and environmental policymaking needs more interdisciplinary analysis.  To support this, rigorous methodologies are needed to integrate our expanding knowledge of the interactions between land-use change, biodiversity, ecosystem functions, the dynamics of socio-economic drivers and the impacts of management options. These methodologies should allow us to explore scenarios, challenge assumptions and thus give reasonable confidence in our decisions.  Global climate models, for example, have had huge impact on debate because of this. Developing equally rigorous and adaptive approaches that couple people with nature across scales is the next major challenge in delivering policy-relevant forecasts.      

This task is a challenging one that requires the combined efforts of individuals with a broad range of skill sets, who bring experience from  different domains – such as land-use change, ecological and evolutionary dynamics, environmental, social and economic sciences. The participants in the workshop will include those with mathematical, statistical, and simulation modelling expertise, as well as those who have relevant empirical knowledge and expertise in working with stakeholders and policy makers in achieving robust decisions for people and nature. One third of the places will be reserved for early-career (post-doctoral) researchers.

Walkshopping, Andina IV, Argentina